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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+2.16vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+3.22vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+3.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57+1.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.85vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25-0.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.45vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-0.27vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.34-0.48vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.13-3.74vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.50-0.60vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.03vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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5.22Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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4.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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6.61Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.73Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.97Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 27.8% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 15.3% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Julia Beck | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 27.4% | 19.4% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 25.2% | 15.4% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.