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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+4.33vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+4.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+0.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57+1.15vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.55+0.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+0.32vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+0.57vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34+0.45vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.37+1.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.13-3.66vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.50-0.63vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.32vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.1Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.2%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.14Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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11.37Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.68Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 27.7% | 21.4% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 15.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 25.6% | 15.9% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Julia Beck | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 28.0% | 19.3% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 56.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.