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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.71vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+2.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.30-0.03vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+3.16vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.37+0.14vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.81+0.04vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.63-1.34vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.17-4.28vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.80-0.72vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.28-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.92-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71College of Charleston2.3754.6%1st Place
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4.93The Citadel0.195.9%1st Place
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2.97College of Charleston1.3018.9%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University0.234.2%1st Place
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8.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.1%1st Place
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6.14Duke University-0.373.3%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University-0.811.5%1st Place
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6.66The Citadel-0.632.2%1st Place
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4.72Clemson University-0.176.7%1st Place
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9.28University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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9.92Georgia Institute of Technology-2.280.5%1st Place
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10.77University of North Carolina-2.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 54.6% | 28.1% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 18.9% | 27.1% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 5.5% |
| Zohar Almani | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Liam Holder | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Camden Hom | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 22.9% | 14.8% |
| John Kelly | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 29.3% | 24.7% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.