← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+5.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.23+0.30vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.67vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.36+2.51vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.90+0.08vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.00-1.21vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University0.65+1.22vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.84vs Predicted
-
9Boston University0.72-0.72vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.57-1.25vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.02-3.52vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University-0.90-0.17vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.25-6.31vs Predicted
-
14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
-
2.3University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
-
5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.51Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
-
5.08Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
4.79Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
8.22Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
-
8.84Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
-
8.28Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.75Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
7.48Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
11.83Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
6.69Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
-
13.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lindsay | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 38.8% | 27.8% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Colin Snow | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| William Wiegand | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 54.7% | 7.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 5.5% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.