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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+1.34vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.72+6.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+3.74vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00-0.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+0.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57+0.61vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.36-2.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.90-4.99vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.65-2.46vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.46-3.02vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.90-1.29vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
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8.11Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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8.98Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.77Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 40.9% | 23.5% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lindsay | 3.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 8.0% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Colin Snow | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 0.8% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 13.8% | 54.4% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 6.6% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.