Race 3B

charles-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kerem Erkmen 40.6% 23.5% 16.4% 8.1% 5.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 5.3% 8.1% 9.8% 8.6% 10.3% 11.1% 9.4% 9.7% 9.8% 8.0% 5.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Charles Lindsay 5.4% 7.5% 7.1% 7.8% 7.9% 10.1% 9.2% 9.6% 10.4% 9.6% 7.8% 6.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Shea Smith 9.4% 13.3% 12.2% 12.3% 12.1% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 4.9% 3.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 2.9% 4.8% 6.9% 8.0% 8.2% 7.7% 8.4% 9.3% 9.4% 12.3% 10.0% 8.8% 3.1% 0.2%
Ben Palmer 2.3% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 6.4% 8.4% 8.4% 9.9% 10.7% 13.1% 16.7% 8.2% 0.3%
William Wiegand 3.3% 4.1% 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 6.4% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 12.9% 11.9% 11.9% 4.8% 0.2%
Colin Snow 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 5.5% 5.5% 7.6% 9.0% 10.5% 13.7% 18.1% 10.2% 0.5%
Christine Reimer 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 8.9% 11.0% 8.9% 9.4% 9.7% 11.5% 9.4% 8.5% 3.7% 2.2% 0.1%
Mercedes Escandon 7.5% 8.2% 12.3% 10.8% 10.1% 10.2% 11.0% 9.9% 8.0% 4.9% 3.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Garrett Moen 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 4.3% 7.3% 12.2% 54.8% 8.5%
Paul Kuechler 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 6.5% 8.2% 6.9% 9.6% 9.3% 11.1% 13.8% 13.8% 6.5% 0.6%
Andrew Collins 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 6.5% 89.5%
Adrian Winkelman 12.2% 14.1% 11.9% 14.3% 11.9% 11.0% 9.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.