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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+3.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+0.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+3.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+2.69vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00-0.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57+1.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.65+0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72-0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02-2.76vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.90+0.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.25-5.40vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.95vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.27University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
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6.31Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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4.68Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.6Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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11.05Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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13.71Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 10.4% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 39.6% | 28.3% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lindsay | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| William Wiegand | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 20.2% | 44.6% | 7.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 26.4% | 33.3% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.