← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.02+6.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.23+0.25vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.90+1.86vs Predicted
-
4Boston University0.72+4.04vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.36+1.41vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.57+1.14vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.25-2.38vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.00-5.35vs Predicted
-
11Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.18vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University0.65-3.79vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University-0.90-1.57vs Predicted
-
14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
2.25University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
-
4.86Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
8.04Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.41Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
-
5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
-
8.14Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
6.62Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.65Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
11.18Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
-
8.21Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
-
11.43Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
13.72Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 4.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 40.1% | 27.2% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 10.2% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.2% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 25.9% | 34.6% | 4.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 21.0% | 42.0% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.