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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+5.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23-0.73vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+3.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.00-1.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02-0.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.65+0.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-2.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57-1.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.25-4.35vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.90-0.43vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.98vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.27University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.02Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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13.72Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 42.7% | 24.0% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 43.5% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 25.5% | 32.2% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 7.6% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.