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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+1.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+6.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+3.43vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.75vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.25+1.88vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+0.95vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90-2.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02-0.66vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.65-0.49vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.96vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-6.18vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-3.73vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.90-1.29vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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6.88Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.04Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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4.82Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.75Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 39.3% | 25.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 11.5% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Colin Snow | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 54.8% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 6.2% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.