← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.90+4.01vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+4.65vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.23-0.70vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.25+2.77vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.87vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.00-1.16vs Predicted
-
7Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.72vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.57+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.02-1.49vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University-0.90+1.83vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University0.65-2.47vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.72-3.74vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.36-6.59vs Predicted
-
14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.01Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
2.3University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
-
6.77Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
-
4.84Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
8.72Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
-
8.54Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
7.51Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
11.83Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.53Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
-
8.26Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.41Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
-
13.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 9.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lindsay | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 40.7% | 24.6% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 7.9% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 54.6% | 8.6% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 0.2% |
| William Wiegand | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 6.1% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.