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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+5.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.90+2.86vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+1.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+3.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+1.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.15vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-5.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.65-0.47vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.90+1.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.25-4.16vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-3.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.57-4.45vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.0%1st Place
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4.86Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.68Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.630.1%1st Place
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8.67Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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2.33University of Rhode Island3.230.4%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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13.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lindsay | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 11.1% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mercedes Escandon | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 41.4% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 54.4% | 8.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 89.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.