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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.23vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.11vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-2.18+1.19vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.16+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89-3.48vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.47-1.47vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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2.89Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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5.19Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.16Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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6.53Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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7.76Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 24.2% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 35.1% | 28.5% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 21.0% | 20.6% | 24.6% | 21.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 25.6% | 33.6% | 14.9% | 1.6% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 25.4% | 34.9% | 13.8% | 1.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 25.0% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 58.6% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 10.1% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.