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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.30+1.94vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.37-0.27vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+2.07vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+1.69vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.17-0.15vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.81+1.03vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.63-0.25vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.37-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.80-0.91vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.28-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.92-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94College of Charleston1.3018.9%1st Place
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1.73College of Charleston2.3753.4%1st Place
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5.07The Citadel0.195.5%1st Place
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5.69Clemson University0.233.9%1st Place
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4.85Clemson University-0.177.4%1st Place
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7.03North Carolina State University-0.812.1%1st Place
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6.75The Citadel-0.632.3%1st Place
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6.06Duke University-0.373.0%1st Place
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8.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.5%1st Place
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9.09University of South Carolina-1.801.4%1st Place
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9.95Georgia Institute of Technology-2.280.4%1st Place
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10.71University of North Carolina-2.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Allen | 18.9% | 27.0% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Garcia | 53.4% | 28.8% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Bialek | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Holder | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Camden Hom | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Zohar Almani | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 13.1% |
| John Kelly | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 28.0% | 27.4% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 20.3% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.