Race 5A

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Coleman Bowen 8.1% 8.1% 10.9% 8.2% 8.4% 9.1% 7.3% 6.6% 7.8% 4.9% 7.1% 6.2% 4.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Cam Cullman 11.1% 11.0% 10.0% 10.5% 9.0% 8.8% 7.0% 6.7% 7.9% 5.7% 4.1% 3.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan White 3.6% 3.3% 3.4% 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.4% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 9.6% 12.6% 10.3% 8.9% 3.0%
Nick Aswad 4.9% 6.4% 5.9% 7.7% 5.2% 6.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 6.5% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7%
Connor Needham 6.1% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 5.8% 5.6% 3.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Alan Palmer 20.2% 15.9% 14.4% 11.0% 10.7% 8.2% 5.5% 4.8% 3.3% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 4.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 3.4% 5.1% 6.4% 8.6% 10.1% 17.8% 15.9% 7.0%
John Wallace 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 8.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.9% 9.1% 6.6% 4.7% 1.1%
Matt Johnson 6.2% 7.5% 6.3% 7.2% 6.2% 7.5% 9.3% 7.4% 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 7.7% 4.3% 4.5% 2.7% 0.7%
Benjamin Bainbridge 7.1% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.4% 7.9% 8.7% 10.4% 8.2% 6.9% 6.6% 5.1% 3.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2%
William Hutchings 7.0% 7.6% 5.5% 7.4% 6.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.8% 7.7% 9.1% 7.0% 6.9% 6.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Halsey Richartz 9.0% 8.0% 7.9% 9.4% 9.0% 6.7% 8.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Philip Alley 5.3% 5.1% 7.4% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 5.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7% 0.4%
James Allsopp 3.6% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 6.0% 6.4% 5.5% 5.6% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 9.9% 11.2% 11.2% 7.0% 1.8%
Gene Merewether 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 7.7% 12.9% 28.9% 27.6%
Alexander Lovo 0.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 6.8% 18.4% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.