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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.21vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.76vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.12vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.18+0.18vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.16-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.89-3.49vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.47-1.47vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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2.76Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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5.18Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.17Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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6.53Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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7.76Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Galloway | 37.8% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 21.8% | 23.9% | 24.8% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 19.5% | 23.4% | 23.7% | 20.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 24.7% | 33.9% | 14.9% | 1.6% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 26.4% | 35.0% | 13.8% | 1.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 12.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 58.7% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.1% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.