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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.23vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.89-0.46vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.18+0.20vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.16-0.86vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.47-1.46vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Pittsburgh0.140.3%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.2Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.14Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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6.54Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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7.77Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 23.6% | 26.2% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 35.0% | 28.6% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 21.0% | 21.4% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 12.2% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 26.2% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 34.8% | 14.8% | 1.1% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 33.4% | 14.1% | 1.3% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 58.2% | 12.7% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.