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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.20vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.76vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.14vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.16+1.14vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.18-0.79vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.47-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.89-4.45vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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2.76Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.86Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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5.14Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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5.21Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.5Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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7.77Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Galloway | 36.8% | 28.1% | 19.3% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 21.4% | 24.5% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 20.5% | 21.4% | 26.3% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 24.8% | 32.8% | 14.5% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 12.2% | 25.9% | 30.8% | 17.3% | 1.4% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 19.8% | 55.2% | 11.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 13.5% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 27.0% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 10.1% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.