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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.40+1.83vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.81vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.16+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89-2.46vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.47-0.50vs Predicted
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8Mercyhurst University-2.18-2.76vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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2.78Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.19University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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6.5Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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5.24Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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7.75Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Wyers | 21.4% | 22.5% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 21.8% | 24.9% | 23.3% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 37.6% | 27.5% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 32.7% | 15.0% | 1.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 11.2% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 27.2% | 18.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 18.6% | 55.8% | 11.3% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 24.1% | 32.5% | 17.4% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 9.9% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.