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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.72vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.77vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-2.18+1.20vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.16+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.89-2.50vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.47-0.47vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.9Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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5.2Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.15Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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6.53Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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7.76Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 23.1% | 25.3% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 19.4% | 21.9% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 36.2% | 27.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 25.6% | 33.8% | 14.8% | 1.6% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 25.5% | 35.0% | 13.7% | 1.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 13.4% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 58.6% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.1% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.