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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.19vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.75vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.89-0.47vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.16+0.18vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.18-1.82vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.47-1.46vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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2.75Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.87Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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5.18Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.54Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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7.77Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Galloway | 37.7% | 27.1% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 21.5% | 25.1% | 23.7% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 20.4% | 22.5% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 12.1% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 26.6% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dean Swanson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 26.1% | 35.3% | 13.7% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 25.0% | 33.9% | 14.5% | 1.5% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 58.8% | 12.5% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 11.0% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.