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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.23vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.08vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.16+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.89-1.47vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.18-1.85vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.47-1.49vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.33-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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2.92Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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5.19Penn State University-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.15Mercyhurst University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.51Penn State Behrend-3.470.0%1st Place
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7.76Indiana University of Pennsylvania-5.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 24.0% | 25.6% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 35.5% | 28.0% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 20.7% | 20.4% | 24.3% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dean Swanson | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 25.1% | 32.8% | 16.3% | 1.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 25.8% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jarosz | 4.0% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 26.1% | 31.8% | 14.8% | 1.4% |
| Chandler DeBarros | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 18.4% | 55.7% | 12.5% |
| Samuel Shelenberger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 10.7% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.