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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+1.56vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.48-0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.43-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.08-0.88vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.77-1.04vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.75-0.88vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.22vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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1.49Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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3.28University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.96Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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6.12Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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5.78Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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7.71Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hall | 18.8% | 34.5% | 27.2% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Walcott | 63.5% | 26.0% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 9.1% | 19.5% | 30.8% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 3.9% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 27.1% | 23.4% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Grant Harm | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 19.1% | 26.5% | 25.6% | 12.8% | 1.1% |
| Evan Snyder | 0.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 41.8% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 30.9% | 31.2% | 5.4% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.