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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+0.56vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.48-1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.43-0.67vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.77-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.08-1.89vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-1.29vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.75-1.90vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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1.49Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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3.33University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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4.99Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.71Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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6.1Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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7.72Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hall | 18.7% | 34.7% | 25.8% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Walcott | 63.7% | 26.0% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 9.0% | 18.8% | 29.3% | 23.9% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grant Harm | 1.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 4.7% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 26.1% | 22.6% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 27.7% | 30.4% | 4.8% |
| Evan Snyder | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 43.5% | 8.6% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.