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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.22+3.06vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.30+0.27vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+2.29vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+2.86vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.63+0.29vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.37-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.80+0.85vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17-4.65vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.28-0.45vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.81-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85College of Charleston2.3748.5%1st Place
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5.06University of North Carolina0.226.5%1st Place
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3.27College of Charleston1.3018.0%1st Place
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6.29Clemson University0.234.1%1st Place
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5.39The Citadel0.196.0%1st Place
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8.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.4%1st Place
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7.29The Citadel-0.632.8%1st Place
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6.61Duke University-0.373.5%1st Place
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9.85University of South Carolina-1.800.5%1st Place
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5.35Clemson University-0.175.8%1st Place
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10.55Georgia Institute of Technology-2.280.4%1st Place
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7.62North Carolina State University-0.812.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 48.5% | 28.4% | 15.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 18.0% | 22.2% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 13.1% |
| Camden Hom | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Zohar Almani | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 25.2% | 29.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Kelly | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 22.6% | 48.7% |
| Liam Holder | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.