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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+4.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.63vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.63+3.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.79+5.84vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+2.02vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+1.71vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+0.36vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.52-4.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62-2.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-2.04vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27-3.00vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.34-0.98vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.70-3.09vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.50-0.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-7.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy0.90-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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3.94Harvard University4.520.2%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.0Cornell University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.02Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.22Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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14.54U. S. Military Academy0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Halsey Richartz | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| James Allsopp | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 5.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Needham | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 22.8% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Aswad | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Philip Alley | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Billy Hines | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 7.6% |
| Ryan White | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 27.2% | 25.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Lovo | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.