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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+1.56vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.48-0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-2.08+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-1.43-1.68vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-0.24vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.77-2.08vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.75-1.87vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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1.51Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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4.08University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.32University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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5.76Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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4.92Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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6.13Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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7.73Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hall | 18.0% | 36.1% | 25.3% | 14.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Walcott | 63.0% | 25.8% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 4.9% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 25.5% | 25.8% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 8.8% | 18.3% | 30.0% | 25.5% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 18.7% | 29.7% | 31.7% | 4.1% |
| Grant Harm | 2.6% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 19.0% | 25.8% | 25.5% | 12.1% | 1.2% |
| Evan Snyder | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 23.3% | 43.3% | 9.0% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.