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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+1.53vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.48-0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-2.08+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-1.43-1.70vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-3.75+0.12vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-1.25vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.77-3.00vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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1.5Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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4.07University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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6.12Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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5.75Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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5.0Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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7.72Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hall | 18.4% | 36.4% | 25.0% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Walcott | 62.7% | 26.3% | 9.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 4.9% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 27.0% | 24.4% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 8.9% | 18.3% | 29.9% | 26.0% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Snyder | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 42.8% | 7.7% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 19.5% | 27.7% | 31.1% | 5.2% |
| Grant Harm | 2.7% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 27.1% | 26.4% | 12.3% | 2.3% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.