← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.48+0.49vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+0.57vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh-1.43+0.28vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43+0.75vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-2.77-1.01vs Predicted
-
7University of Rochester-2.08-2.92vs Predicted
-
8Penn State Behrend-3.75-1.88vs Predicted
-
9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.49Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
-
2.57Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
-
3.28University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.75Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
-
4.99Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
-
4.08University of Rochester-2.080.1%1st Place
-
6.12Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
-
7.72Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Walcott | 63.0% | 26.9% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 17.0% | 35.8% | 26.6% | 15.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 9.7% | 19.4% | 28.7% | 24.5% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 28.2% | 30.3% | 5.2% |
| Grant Harm | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 28.5% | 25.4% | 13.5% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 5.5% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 25.3% | 23.6% | 12.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Evan Snyder | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 25.1% | 42.5% | 8.7% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.