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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.48+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-1.43+0.32vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.77+0.94vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.08-1.90vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.75-0.93vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.22vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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3.32University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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4.94Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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2.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Rochester-2.080.1%1st Place
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6.07Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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5.78Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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7.71Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Walcott | 61.7% | 27.7% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 9.1% | 18.4% | 28.8% | 25.3% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grant Harm | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 26.4% | 24.3% | 14.0% | 1.6% |
| Ethan Hall | 17.9% | 34.7% | 27.9% | 13.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 5.3% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 27.8% | 24.8% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Evan Snyder | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 41.7% | 7.9% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 29.9% | 31.8% | 5.4% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.