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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.48+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-1.43+0.33vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.08-0.91vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.77-1.05vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.75-0.89vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-2.23vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-5.78-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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3.33University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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2.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.95Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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6.11Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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5.77Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
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7.71Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Walcott | 62.7% | 27.2% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 9.0% | 18.6% | 28.6% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 18.5% | 33.9% | 27.9% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 4.7% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 27.7% | 22.4% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Grant Harm | 2.5% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 25.8% | 25.6% | 13.1% | 1.1% |
| Evan Snyder | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 41.8% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 29.9% | 31.5% | 5.4% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.