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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.48+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-2.08+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.43-0.74vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-2.44vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.77-0.99vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.75-0.89vs Predicted
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8Mercyhurst University-5.78-0.30vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.43-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Syracuse University0.480.6%1st Place
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4.14University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Pittsburgh-1.430.1%1st Place
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2.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.2%1st Place
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5.01Penn State University-2.770.0%1st Place
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6.11Penn State Behrend-3.750.0%1st Place
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7.7Mercyhurst University-5.780.0%1st Place
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5.72Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Walcott | 63.3% | 26.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 4.7% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 27.7% | 23.7% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Race "Razorface" Nicolia | 9.9% | 19.6% | 27.7% | 25.7% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Hall | 17.7% | 34.5% | 28.6% | 14.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Harm | 2.5% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 27.9% | 25.3% | 14.1% | 1.3% |
| Evan Snyder | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 42.2% | 8.8% |
| Brenden Jackett | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 84.9% |
| Benjamin Swanson | 0.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 30.7% | 29.8% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.