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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.85vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.30+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+2.06vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+1.47vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.63+2.29vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.23+0.25vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.37-0.44vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.81-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.80+0.79vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.01vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.17-5.70vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.28-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85College of Charleston2.3749.5%1st Place
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3.19College of Charleston1.3018.1%1st Place
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5.06University of North Carolina0.226.2%1st Place
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5.47The Citadel0.195.3%1st Place
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7.29The Citadel-0.632.9%1st Place
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6.25Clemson University0.233.6%1st Place
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6.56Duke University-0.373.5%1st Place
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7.64North Carolina State University-0.812.4%1st Place
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9.79University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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8.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.2%1st Place
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5.3Clemson University-0.176.2%1st Place
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10.6Georgia Institute of Technology-2.280.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 49.5% | 28.3% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 18.1% | 23.9% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Camden Hom | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Zohar Almani | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Liam Holder | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 25.6% | 28.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 22.0% | 12.8% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John Kelly | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 21.0% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.