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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+6.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+2.05vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+4.30vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.76vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.80vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.27+1.03vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-2.29vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.70+0.86vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.34+1.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.79-1.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-4.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-5.40vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.50-0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-8.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy0.90-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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4.05Harvard University4.520.2%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.11Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.17Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.29Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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14.56U. S. Military Academy0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 21.8% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Philip Alley | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Billy Hines | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 6.4% |
| James Allsopp | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| Nick Aswad | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Gene Merewether | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 28.6% | 25.9% |
| Coleman Bowen | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Lovo | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 18.6% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.