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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.59vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.62+0.67vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.36+1.17vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72-0.94vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.45-1.75vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Christopher Newport University0.6029.3%1st Place
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2.67Virginia Tech0.6226.7%1st Place
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4.17William and Mary-0.368.0%1st Place
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3.06Hampton University0.7220.3%1st Place
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4.68American University-0.866.7%1st Place
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4.25University of Maryland-0.458.1%1st Place
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6.58Catholic University of America-2.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 29.3% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Manternach | 26.7% | 24.8% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 4.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 20.3% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 32.5% | 8.8% |
| Sophie Grigg | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 24.1% | 4.2% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.