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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.26+1.62vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.56-0.63vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.87+0.70vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.82+1.46vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-2.22+1.25vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.19+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.13-0.91vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.27-3.55vs Predicted
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10Denison University-2.60-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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3.62University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.37Purdue University0.560.3%1st Place
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4.7Hope College-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.46Miami University-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.25Ohio University-2.220.0%1st Place
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7.28Ohio State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.45Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.98Denison University-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 27.3% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brian Pribe | 14.9% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 33.8% | 27.6% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Allison Hoeft | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 8.6% |
| Crown Steiner | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| Adam Frederick | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| Collin Kemper | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| Emily Williams | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| megan keller | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.