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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+2.99vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+0.38vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20-1.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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2.56SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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2.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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3.82Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.85Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.1% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 22.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 31.1% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 32.0% | 27.0% | 20.0% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| John McKenna | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 23.2% | 33.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 20.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.