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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.45+3.13vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.36+2.19vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60-0.39vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72-0.82vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.62-2.31vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.38vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Maryland-0.4510.4%1st Place
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4.19William and Mary-0.369.6%1st Place
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2.61Christopher Newport University0.6028.4%1st Place
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3.18Hampton University0.7218.5%1st Place
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2.69Virginia Tech0.6226.4%1st Place
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4.62American University-0.865.5%1st Place
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6.57Catholic University of America-2.711.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Grigg | 10.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 4.3% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 23.0% | 4.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 28.4% | 25.2% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 18.5% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Luke Manternach | 26.4% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 30.6% | 8.5% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 80.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.