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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.56vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.98vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.59vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-1.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.71Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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2.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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3.93Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 29.3% | 24.9% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 16.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 23.7% | 21.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 31.3% | 25.7% | 22.4% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 21.6% |
| John McKenna | 6.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.