← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.20+2.77vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.45vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.51vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.16-0.19vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-0.53vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.03-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.77Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
2.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
-
2.49SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
-
3.81Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.01University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 10.6% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 32.0% | 26.6% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.1% | 26.0% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.9% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 17.4% |
| John McKenna | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 36.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 22.8% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.