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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+3.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.35vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.57vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-1.08vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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3.7Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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2.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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3.92Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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2.57SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 22.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| John McKenna | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 23.9% | 32.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 30.4% | 26.9% | 21.6% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 22.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 29.5% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.