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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.75vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.02vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.42vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.52SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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2.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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3.79Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.0% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.7% | 25.3% | 20.0% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| John McKenna | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 34.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.7% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 21.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 29.9% | 25.8% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.