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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.76vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.45vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.51vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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2.49SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.83Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 10.4% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 18.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 32.8% | 25.3% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.3% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 17.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 25.8% |
| John McKenna | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.