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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.78vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.55vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+0.79vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.55SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.79Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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2.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 29.8% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 11.4% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 17.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 31.3% | 25.4% | 22.4% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| John McKenna | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 36.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.