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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.58vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.35vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.71Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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3.78Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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2.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 28.4% | 25.7% | 21.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 17.1% |
| John McKenna | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 33.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 26.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 30.9% | 25.5% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.