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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+3.39vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.43vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.01vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.33vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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2.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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3.73Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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2.67SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.79Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McKenna | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 35.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 32.7% | 26.0% | 19.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.3% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 16.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 27.2% | 25.4% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 11.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.