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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16-0.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-0.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.20-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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2.54SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.97University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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3.8Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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3.75Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 30.4% | 27.2% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.9% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 22.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 16.8% |
| John McKenna | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 37.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.8% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 20.7% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.