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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+2.13vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.62+0.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60-0.43vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.45-0.78vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.36-1.79vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Hampton University0.7219.1%1st Place
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2.66Virginia Tech0.6227.2%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University0.6029.1%1st Place
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4.6American University-0.866.8%1st Place
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4.22University of Maryland-0.458.2%1st Place
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4.21William and Mary-0.368.9%1st Place
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6.61Catholic University of America-2.710.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 19.1% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Luke Manternach | 27.2% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 29.1% | 24.9% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 32.1% | 7.3% |
| Sophie Grigg | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 23.7% | 4.4% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 23.6% | 4.2% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.