Race 10A

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
James Allsopp 2.7% 3.4% 4.9% 6.4% 4.8% 5.6% 4.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.9% 8.8% 8.0% 10.5% 11.5% 8.1% 1.7%
Philip Alley 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 6.5% 7.3% 6.0% 7.7% 7.4% 8.8% 7.0% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Nick Aswad 6.7% 5.8% 6.3% 6.0% 8.0% 5.9% 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.4% 7.9% 5.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8%
Cam Cullman 9.6% 10.5% 11.3% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 7.8% 7.5% 5.7% 6.2% 5.4% 3.9% 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Halsey Richartz 7.0% 9.5% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 7.9% 9.7% 7.3% 8.1% 6.8% 5.7% 4.7% 5.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Alan Palmer 20.7% 16.4% 13.8% 12.8% 9.5% 7.9% 4.7% 5.4% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Hutchings 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 5.9% 6.7% 8.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 6.9% 7.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Matt Johnson 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.1% 6.3% 2.8% 2.9% 0.6%
John Wallace 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 4.8% 6.3% 5.8% 7.6% 6.2% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.5% 8.5% 9.1% 4.2% 1.1%
Coleman Bowen 7.8% 7.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 9.3% 7.8% 6.8% 6.0% 4.9% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Benjamin Bainbridge 8.8% 7.7% 7.1% 8.4% 7.3% 7.9% 7.2% 7.4% 9.2% 7.9% 6.1% 4.9% 4.3% 3.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Ryan White 3.3% 3.8% 3.3% 3.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 5.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 8.5% 11.8% 12.3% 8.3% 3.4%
Gene Merewether 1.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 1.4% 2.7% 3.9% 3.9% 4.3% 7.2% 10.5% 29.3% 27.8%
Billy Hines 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 6.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.3% 10.9% 9.1% 15.8% 14.6% 7.0%
Connor Needham 7.4% 6.4% 6.5% 8.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 6.8% 8.1% 6.3% 5.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Alexander Lovo 0.0% 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 7.7% 19.3% 55.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.