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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.47vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.37vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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3.71Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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2.52SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.91Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 31.6% | 26.3% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.9% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 16.1% |
| John McKenna | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 32.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 28.3% | 26.5% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 21.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 21.8% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.