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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+0.81vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20-0.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.95University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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3.81Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.72Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 28.7% | 26.3% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 22.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 22.1% | 17.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.1% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 16.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 30.3% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| John McKenna | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.