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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+3.40vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.46vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.51vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.94vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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2.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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2.49SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.77Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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3.83Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McKenna | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 34.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 32.3% | 26.3% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.0% | 25.9% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.0% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 16.2% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 21.9% | 24.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.