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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+8.36vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+5.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+2.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+6.57vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96+5.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08+4.15vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93-0.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.35+0.97vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.62-1.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-0.03vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.19vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-4.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-4.62vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.78-0.31vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.69vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.11-6.92vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.59-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.24Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.57Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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14.69Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.08Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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15.08Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taft Buckley | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Joe Coyne | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Scott Mais | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Edward Cook | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 21.1% | 30.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Camden Ward | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.