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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+5.91vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.62+6.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.67vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+1.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+5.67vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11+4.00vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.79+0.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.08+1.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.05vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.43vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.96-0.28vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.76-5.78vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-4.65vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.59+0.18vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-6.75vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.78-2.20vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.93-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.0Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.350.0%1st Place
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11.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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15.18Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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14.8Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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10.59Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mais | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Cooper Walshe | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Joe Coyne | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Camden Ward | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 40.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 20.0% | 33.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.